Cassa UD B vs Aro CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+1384%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassa UD B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
5 - 0
CAS
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 8
LMA
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HFV
2 - 2
CAS
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAG
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 2
CAS
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aro CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 0
ALB
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 6
ARO
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
5 - 1
SAN
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOS
1 - 1
ARO
60%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
4 - 1
TRL
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |