Casoli vs SS Real Montecchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MIG
1 - 2
CSL
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CSL
0 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
CSL
35%
28%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CSL
0 - 1
CIV
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FAN
1 - 1
CSL
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SS Real Montecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SDC
2 - 1
SRM
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SRM
0 - 1
CAM
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MIG
0 - 0
SRM
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SRM
0 - 3
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SRM
1 - 0
UST
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |