Cashmere Technical vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.8%
7.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
2º
20
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 42 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 40 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 40 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 28 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 27 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 21 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 5 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
72% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 3
CAS
11%
14%
75%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
WNK
86%
9%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
COA
0 - 3
CAS
34%
21%
45%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
CAS
6 - 0
SUF
95%
4%
1%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
CHR
3 - 1
CAS
55%
20%
26%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
NSF
1 - 1
DUN
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
UOC
1 - 6
NSF
7%
12%
81%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
NSF
21%
18%
62%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FER
1 - 0
NSF
27%
21%
53%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FER
3 - 5
NSF
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |