Cashmere Technical vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
3º
1º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 8
CAS
6%
9%
86%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
COA
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 10
CAS
5%
8%
87%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 2
CHR
46%
22%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 1
UOC
87%
9%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 4
SUF
89%
8%
4%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
COA
2 - 2
NSF
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |