Cashmere Technical vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
92%
6%
2%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
SUF
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
COA
1 - 3
CAS
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 1
CHR
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
HAL
0 - 5
CAS
4%
12%
84%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CHR
3 - 1
NSF
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
NSF
17%
18%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 1
SUF
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NOM
0 - 4
NSF
28%
21%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
NSF
0 - 1
COA
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |