Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.3%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.5%
3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
3º
21
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 42 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 40 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 40 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 29 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 28 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 21 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 5 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
70.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NSF
2 - 0
CAS
13%
15%
73%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 3
NOM
91%
7%
3%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
WNK
3 - 2
CAS
13%
14%
74%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 2
COA
70%
15%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SUF
1 - 5
CAS
5%
9%
87%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
FER
2 - 2
DUN
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
UOC
2 - 5
FER
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
FER
0 - 5
CHR
8%
14%
79%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SUF
0 - 5
FER
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NSF
4 - 1
FER
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |