Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SUF
1 - 2
CAS
6%
15%
79%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHR
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
CAS
5 - 0
NOM
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
COA
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 3
WSU
60%
20%
20%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 2
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
NSF
11 - 1
FER
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
FCT
0 - 4
FER
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
HAL
1 - 2
FER
14%
17%
68%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FER
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |