Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
ONE
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NSF
0 - 3
CAS
13%
19%
67%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAV
40%
23%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
7 - 0
NOM
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
8 - 0
PAS
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 10 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |