Cashmere Technical vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.8%
Win probability
4.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.2%
5-0
8%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
2º
2º
26
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
CAS
5%
9%
86%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
GIA
94%
4%
2%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COA
1 - 1
CAS
5%
9%
86%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
7 - 3
NOM
95%
4%
1%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 4
CAS
9%
12%
79%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
DUN
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
FER
52%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
5 - 2
DUN
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 5
DUN
40%
21%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |