Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla analysis

Casertana Virtus Francavilla
55 ELO 49
2.8% Tilt -7.9%
2527º General ELO ranking 3862º
78º Country ELO ranking 124º
ELO win probability
60.1%
Casertana
22.7%
Draw
17.2%
Virtus Francavilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
Casertana
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.2%
Win probability
Virtus Francavilla
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Casertana
Their league position
Virtus Francavilla
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
16º
35
19º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Casertana
Virtus Francavilla
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Casertana
Virtus Francavilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Casertana
Casertana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2024
TUR
Turris Neapolis
1 - 0
Casertana
CAS
41%
26%
34%
55 51 4 0
07 Mar. 2024
CAS
Casertana
1 - 1
Audace Cerignola
AUD
32%
27%
41%
55 60 5 0
04 Mar. 2024
JUS
Juve Stabia
1 - 0
Casertana
CAS
56%
25%
19%
55 62 7 0
25 Feb. 2024
CAS
Casertana
2 - 1
Brindisi
BRI
71%
18%
11%
55 45 10 0
19 Feb. 2024
AVE
Avellino
2 - 1
Casertana
CAS
52%
27%
22%
55 60 5 0

Matches

Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2024
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
0 - 0
Avellino
AVE
20%
25%
55%
49 63 14 0
06 Mar. 2024
TAR
Taranto
1 - 0
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
56%
27%
17%
50 60 10 -1
03 Mar. 2024
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
1 - 0
Latina
LAT
33%
27%
41%
49 54 5 +1
26 Feb. 2024
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
0 - 0
Monopoli
MON
41%
25%
34%
48 51 3 +1
19 Feb. 2024
SOR
Sorrento
1 - 0
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
53%
26%
21%
49 54 5 -1