Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
REN
2 - 2
CAS
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
BAR
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TER
0 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
PAG
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 0
CAT
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
FRA
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAV
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
FRA
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
3 - 4
RPO
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |