Casertana vs Sicula Leonzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 1
CAS
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
24%
28%
49%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
REG
2 - 1
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
FON
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SIC
2 - 0
FON
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FIA
2 - 1
SIC
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 0
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AKR
0 - 2
SIC
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 0
CAT
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |