Casertana vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
AVE
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
REG
2 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
BIS
65%
21%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BIS
2 - 2
PAG
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 1
BAR
19%
25%
57%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TER
2 - 0
PAG
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 0
PAG
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
USV
39%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |