Casertana vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
REG
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FON
0 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
SIR
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 5
CAT
25%
29%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 3
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 1
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
PAG
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |