Casertana vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
CAS
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
LCR
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
0 - 4
CAS
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
72%
20%
9%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
ISC
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ISC
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 1
MON
61%
24%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
USF
0 - 2
MON
72%
19%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
FIA
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |