Casertana vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
REG
2 - 1
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
FON
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
NUO
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 2
FIA
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
NUO
0 - 1
LEC
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 0
MAT
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AKR
0 - 2
LEC
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
JUS
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |