Casertana vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
3 - 0
PST
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
POM
0 - 2
CAS
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIR
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
ASF
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
2 - 4
TUR
20%
23%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
OSP
2 - 1
ASF
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
1 - 1
ISC
30%
26%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 0
ASF
57%
23%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |