Caselas vs Colegio Hogar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MIG
1 - 2
CAS
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
LTA
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
CAS
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 4
GON
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Colegio Hogar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
LTA
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
CHO
31%
22%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
GON
21%
20%
59%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 2
CHO
52%
21%
26%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 1
NEV
67%
17%
17%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |