Case-Pilote vs Eucalyptus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CLU
4 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESS
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 0
RCS
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AIG
4 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GOL
7 - 1
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Eucalyptus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ESS
2 - 2
EUC
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
EUC
0 - 2
RCS
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
EUC
1 - 2
CLU
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 0
EUC
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RCR
7 - 0
EUC
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |