Case-Pilote vs Emulation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 9
USD
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
4 - 2
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 2
GOL
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TRE
5 - 1
CAS
45%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 1
CLU
36%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 2
EMU
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
EMU
0 - 2
TRE
33%
23%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AIG
2 - 0
EMU
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
EMU
1 - 0
CPE
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ESL
2 - 0
EMU
37%
22%
42%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |