Case-Pilote vs Assaut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
CLU
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
USR
47%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CLU
2 - 0
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
EMU
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CLU
5 - 1
CAS
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Assaut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ASP
2 - 2
ESS
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NSD
0 - 1
ASP
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ASP
0 - 3
AIG
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RCS
0 - 2
ASP
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
ASP
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |