Case-Pilote vs Aiglon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
14º
5º
26
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
USD
1 - 1
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
CPE
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOO
3 - 3
CAS
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 1
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AIG
1 - 0
TRE
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AIG
4 - 1
GOL
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
USD
2 - 1
AIG
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 0
AIG
59%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 1
AIG
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |