Cascinamatese vs Tavernola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+164%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascinamatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ORC
3 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
LAR
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CER
4 - 3
CAS
81%
12%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tavernola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
CAB
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 1
TAV
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
ALT
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |