Cascavel CR vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
CCR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CCR
4 - 0
POL
65%
19%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CIA
2 - 1
CCR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
CCR
0 - 1
PAR
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CCR
2 - 1
JMA
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
TCW
2 - 0
ACP
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
3 - 4
ACP
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ACP
2 - 1
IGU
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ATP
4 - 0
ACP
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
COT
2 - 1
ACP
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |