Casasimarro vs U.B. Conquense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
DBA
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BON
3 - 1
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
TAR
33%
25%
43%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
U.B. Conquense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CON
3 - 3
CVA
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
MUN
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 0
CON
24%
20%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
BON
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 3
CON
22%
21%
58%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |