Casasimarro vs Motilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SOC
1 - 1
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
BON
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OSS
2 - 2
CAS
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
ALP
1 - 2
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
MAH
38%
24%
39%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 1
LGI
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ABA
2 - 3
MOT
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 2
CMG
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOT
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 3
DBA
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |