Casalmaiocco vs ASD Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casalmaiocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
USO
0 - 6
CAS
9%
16%
75%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 2
MON
27%
23%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MED
2 - 1
CAS
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOC
14%
19%
66%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 0
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
CHI
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |