Gualdo Casacastalda vs ASD Sporting Terni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
CAS
24%
23%
52%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 2
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
SPO
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 0
PIE
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 2
SCA
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PIE
0 - 1
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
6 - 2
ASD
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 0
ASD
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 1
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |