Casa Pia AC vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
CAS
62%
24%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
ACV
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CAS
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
ACA
34%
28%
37%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MAF
0 - 4
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 2
PEN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 3
VIZ
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
COV
2 - 1
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |