Carugate vs Crespi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
5.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carugate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIT
1 - 2
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
6 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 3
COB
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 1
CAR
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
REA
87%
10%
4%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 3
COB
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 1
CRE
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 1
REA
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CRE
0 - 1
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |