Carugate vs Citta Di Segrate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carugate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
CAR
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 3
PAD
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAR
35%
23%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
SAL
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MUG
2 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Citta Di Segrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAD
9 - 1
CIT
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CIT
4 - 3
VIL
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
CIT
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIT
2 - 2
MUG
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CIN
4 - 2
CIT
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |