FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
MUR
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
RJA
4 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
RJA
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 1
RJA
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 1
MAD
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |