FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
VVA
1 - 0
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
ECI
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
GRA
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CER
2 - 1
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 1
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 0
VVA
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ECI
3 - 3
RJA
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAL
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 2
RJA
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |