FC Cartagena vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
HOS
1 - 0
CAR
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 1
GIM
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FIG
1 - 1
CAR
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAB
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
NOV
2 - 1
HER
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CEP
0 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NOV
4 - 1
ONT
34%
28%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TER
2 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRA
32%
30%
39%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |