FC Cartagena vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAL
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
SRQ
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
ARR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
LUC
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 1
ALM
31%
28%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 1
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |