FC Cartagena vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
FIG
46%
29%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAR
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
MLL
39%
29%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
HER
2 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
38%
29%
32%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
FIG
0 - 0
HER
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 1
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
HER
0 - 1
LOR
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |