FC Cartagena vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAR
47%
28%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
HUE
0 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
LOR
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 1
SEV
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
4 - 3
ARR
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 0
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARR
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
CDG
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |