FC Cartagena vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAD
3 - 0
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SEV
2 - 2
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
SRQ
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
27%
29%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
LOJ
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
SEV
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
EIB
1 - 0
ARR
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SRQ
1 - 0
ARR
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 1
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 2
ARR
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |