Carrick Rangers vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
3 - 1
CAR
61%
21%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
CRU
20%
23%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
CLI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
COL
2 - 3
LIS
68%
18%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
POR
5 - 1
LIS
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 4
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |