Carrick Rangers vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
KNO
0 - 5
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
CAR
43%
24%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 1
AFA
87%
10%
4%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 1
CAR
25%
22%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
INS
0 - 2
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
INS
5 - 1
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |