Carrick Rangers vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DON
3 - 5
CAR
50%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIS
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 4
GLE
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 1
INS
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
DER
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
INS
3 - 2
TOB
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
3 - 4
INS
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |