Carrick Rangers vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BMF
0 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 3
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
ARD
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
COL
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
BAN
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
HAR
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DER
4 - 1
INS
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 0
INS
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |