Prev. Taça da Liga 1st Round Final
Global 1-2
Carregado vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 4
SPC
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VIZ
1 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
EST
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |