Carregado vs Coutada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 2
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
TOJ
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOU
5 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
CAC
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
POV
1 - 0
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
COU
1 - 1
CLU
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
COU
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COU
1 - 1
IRI
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
COU
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
REA
3 - 0
COU
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |