Carregado vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FEI
1 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
POR
25%
30%
45%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
TRO
28%
29%
43%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GFC
0 - 3
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
USE
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
PEN
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
CHA
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |