Carregado vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ADP
2 - 2
CAR
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
FAT
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAF
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
TOR
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
FAT
30%
27%
42%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |