Carregado vs Cacém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
POV
1 - 0
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
PER
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALV
3 - 0
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
OEI
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
45%
24%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cacém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAC
0 - 0
CLU
52%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAC
4 - 0
IRI
26%
23%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
CAC
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAC
1 - 1
COU
22%
22%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |