Carrarese U17 vs Spezia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+360%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
12º
22
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
REG
2 - 2
CAR
75%
14%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 4
SAS
12%
17%
72%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 1
PAR
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
TOR
4 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SPE
1 - 1
JUV
6%
13%
81%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SPE
1 - 1
GEN
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
REG
2 - 0
SPE
17%
18%
65%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SPE
1 - 1
SAS
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |