Carrarese vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
FRO
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LAT
1 - 0
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
NOC
24%
27%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SSB
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 0
PAG
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASG
1 - 2
SOR
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 1
SOR
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 2
FRO
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
SOR
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |