Carrarese vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
GIU
2 - 0
CAR
38%
29%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 2
BV5
22%
28%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ASG
4 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
SPA
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 1
CAS
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
FCV
2 - 1
SPA
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
GIU
1 - 0
FCV
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
REG
3 - 0
FCV
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
FCV
2 - 0
ASG
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |